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Cyclone Dylan - Cat 2


Guest The Pom Queen

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Guest The Pom Queen
Hopefully it will not make the cyclone strength winds or if it does then a cat 1 at the most (we hope), lets hope the winds will not be to damaging, the rain fall will be welcomed by a lot who are suffering with the drought conditions. I hope everyone stays safe up there.

 

Please do not take risks and everyone look after yourselves and your neighbors

We have already had trees down today and that's when its not even close.

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Guest The Pom Queen

WINDS up to 120km per hour are expected as the region remains in cyclone watch.

 

 

A cyclone warning remains current for coastal and island communities from Port Douglas to Mackay.

 

 

The Bureau of Meteorology has issued an alert that a cyclone watch also remains current for coastal and island communities from Mackay to St Lawrence, extending inland through the eastern interior north of Clermont.

 

 

Damaging winds up to 120km p/hr are expected to form during this afternoon and late evening, extending inland on Thursday and Friday.

 

 

A strong ridge of high pressure extends to the south of the tropical low and the two systems are currently combining to generate the gales between Port Douglas and Mackay.

 

 

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop around the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Herbert and Lower Burdekin and the Central Coast and Whitsundays districts from late this afternoon or evening and should continue into Friday.

 

 

CORAL SEA WEATHER FORMATION

 

 

Coastal residents between Port Douglas and Hamilton Island are specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide, particularly on the high tide on Thursday and Friday with damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas close to the shoreline.

 

 

People in affected areas are advised to protect to property and be prepared to follow instructions regarding

evacuation if needed.

 

 

The Tropical Low formed in the Coral Sea was estimated to be 570 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 590 kilometres northeast of Townsville and moving south southwest at eight kilometres per hour towards the coast at 10am.

 

 

It is expected to move in a west southwestwards over the next couple of days and may develop further as it approaches the Queensland east coast.

 

 

A separate severe weather warning is current for remaining coastal and island communities from Cooktown to Port Douglas and from St Lawrence to Gladstone.

 

 

 

 

People between Port Douglas and Mackay should take precautions.

 

 

The bureau is expected to issue its next advice at 2pm.

 

 

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services (QFES) swift water rescue technicians will fly from Brisbane to Townsville and Cairns today ahead of severe weather predicted for later this week.

 

 

A team of 12 will board a flight from Brisbane to Cairns at about midday today.

 

 

10.30am. Cairns Hospital has moved into a "heightened level of awareness” following the bureau declaring a cyclone watch across the region.

 

 

 

 

 

 

There is a good chance a cyclone will develop in Queensland's Coral Sea tomorrow.

Disaster Coordinator Ben Ryan said a plan had been activated and staff were making preparations.

 

 

“The CHHHS Health Emergency Operation Centre is on standby, and will maintain ongoing communication with key stakeholders including the local and district disaster management groups,’’ Mr Ryan told The Cairns Post.

 

 

The disaster plan was established following the hospital’s closure and evacuation of 330 patients to Brisbane before cyclone Yasi struck.

 

 

The newly formed Douglas Shire says it is well prepared for any emerging weather situation.

 

 

General manager of operations at Douglas Shire Paul Hoye said there was plenty of information on the region's website.

"All the storm surge mapping is on there, we have had advertising on the local radio, Council has prepared it’s resources as per our business continuity planning," he said.

"A special meeting of the local disaster management group for Douglas will be held this morning to go over some of the weather briefings," he said.

 

 

Two self fill sand bag areas have been set up. One in the car-park of the Port Douglas Community Hall and one behind the Council offices in Mossman.

 

 

"This is as a result of the high tides which combined with rainfall could affect some low lying areas, particularly in Port Douglas," he said.

 

 

And on the Cassowary Coast significant coastal erosion is expected over the next few days as strong winds combine with king tides.

 

 

 

 

Cassowary Coast Regional Council's Mayor Bill Shannon said pedestrian accesses, a sea wall and tracks were already being affected.

 

 

Council has temporarily closed Cowley Beach's coastal four-wheel-drive track because of the impact of high tides and wind-driven waves, and a Council Works crew has been undertaking emergency work on a section of the Flying Fish Point seawall to prevent structural damage.

 

 

Rocks are being placed on the wall adjacent to the amenities block and park at Elizabeth St to stabilise scouring and undermining at the top and end of the rock wall.

 

 

Nearer to Cairns, fire crews and Ergon are currently at Tingira St in Portsmith where rising floodwaters have caused a fire in a power box.

 

 

Police are considering closing the road with reported depths of around a metre in some spots.

 

 

Motorists are urged to avoid the area.

 

 

 

 

6am: Further flooding and cut roads are expected as torrential rain and the highest tide of the year combine to create a potentially disastrous weather event in the Far North.

 

 

The Bureau of Meteorology forecasters have declared coastal areas between Port Douglas and Proserpine on "cyclone watch".

 

 

The weather system is expected to be named Cyclone Dylan today and make landfall south of Innisfail as a category one cyclone tomorrow evening.

 

 

Duty forecaster Andrew Mostyn said rainfall would be widespread drowning the region with falls of between 100mm and 200mm, and bringing heavier falls up to 400mm likely in some areas.

 

 

"Flooding is going to be an issue," Mr Mostyn said.

 

 

"Flooding is amplified around our region because we have king tides.

 

 

"Roads will be cut ... There will be some type of inundation with the system crossing when we have abnormally high tides."

 

 

With the highest tide of the year predicted to reach 3.48m at 9.40am on Friday, Mr Mostyn warned people in flood-prone areas to prepare early.

 

 

"Being a very disorganised looking system means it has quite a lot of rain around it.

 

 

"The heaviest rainfall will be (tonight) continuing to Thursday."

 

 

 

Mr Mostyn said last night there was an 80 per cent chance of the system forming into a cyclone which would bring mean winds of 85km/h gusting to 120km/h.

 

 

Tully Mobil attendant Sonia Singh said staff were "flat out" yesterday as people prepared for the storm.

 

 

"Everyone is talking about it and there are thousands of people getting petrol and swapping out gas bottles," Ms Singh said.

 

 

"Everyone is just sort of watching and keeping an eye on it. We can do category five, this is going to be a breeze for us."

 

 

Teitzel's IGA manager Darren Van Dyk, of Cardwell, said locals were already hitting the shops for water and tinned food.

 

 

"People are starting to buy up," he said.

 

 

"One lady bought a 48 pack of toilet paper and people are buying snacks, baked beans and other long-life goods."

 

 

Mr Van Dyk, who has lived in the coastal town for seven years, joked the pending cyclone would be "a breeze" compared to destructive cyclone Yasi.

 

 

"We've been through all this before. I guess with this one it doesn't look like it'll be anything significant so everyone is cautious but not too concerned."

 

 

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services northern regional director Wayne Coutts rallied staff and resources yesterday.

 

 

"We are certainly at a stage of alert, we are paying close attention to the bureau messages coming out," Mr Coutts said.

 

 

"We're looking at our staffing levels across the region to see if there is any need to bring up staff from down south."

 

 

 

 

Co-ordination centres across the Far North have also been prepared.

 

 

"Our biggest concern is the flooding and flooded roads," Mr Coutts said.

 

 

Using alternative routes or delaying any unnecessary travel will be in order as roads become cut, Mr Coutts added.

 

 

"Parents should speak to their kids who have just got their licence in the last year or so and tell them if it's flooded, forget it.

 

 

"We don't want anyone risking their lives."

 

 

Far North Acting Chief Supt Brett Schafferius said the disaster management group, which includes emergency services, councils and other agencies, met yesterday as planning for the weather system continued.

 

 

"It's inevitable in the Far North that these weather events are a feature of living here and once again we just urge all residents to have their preparations in place," he said.

 

 

For more weather information go to http://www.bom.gov.au

 

 

Further information regarding Extreme Weather Plans are available via the Maritime Safety Queensland website http://www.msq.qld.gov.au

 

 

HIGH TIDE TIMES

CAIRNS

 

 

Wednesday: 8.19am (3.3m), 8.07pm (2.7m)

 

 

Thursday: 9am (3.5m), 8.51pm (2.8m)

 

 

Friday: 9.40am (3.5m), 9.35pm (2.8m)

 

 

Saturday: 10.19am (3.4m), 10.20pm (2.7m)

 

 

PORT DOUGLAS

 

 

Wednesday: 8.06am (3.2m), 8pm (2.6m)

 

 

Thursday: 8.47am (3.3m), 8.44pm (2.7m)

 

 

Friday: 9.28am (3.4m), 9.28pm (2.7m)

 

 

Saturday: 10.08am (3.3m), 10.14pm (2.6m)

 

 

MISSION BEACH

 

 

Wednesday: 8.06am (3.3m), 8pm (2.8m)

 

 

Thursday: 8.47am (3.5m), 8.44pm (2.8m)

 

 

Friday: 9.27am (3.5m), 9.28pm (2.8m)

 

 

Saturday: 10.08am (3.4m), 10.13pm (2.7m)

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Guest The Pom Queen

IDQ65001.jpg

 

 

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

 

 

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

 

 

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.

 

 

 

 

Remarks:

 

 

The tropical low is expected to move in a general west southwestwards direction over the next couple of days and may develop further as it approaches the Queensland east coast.

 

 

A strong ridge of high pressure extends through the Coral Sea to the south of the tropical low. The two systems are currently combining to generate GALES at times along much of the east coast between Port Douglas and Mackay. Winds are expected to increase further with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120km/hr developing about the coast from late this afternoon or evening and extending inland during Thursday and Friday.

 

 

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop about coastal and adjacent inland areas of the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Herbert and Lower Burdekin and the Central Coast and Whitsundays districts from late this afternoon or evening and should continue into Friday.

 

 

Coastal residents between Port Douglas and Hamilton Island are specifically warned of the

dangerous storm tide as the developing tropical low approaches the coast, particularly on the high tide on Thursday and Friday. The sea is likely to rise steadily up to a level well above the normal tide, with damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas close to the shoreline. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by the authorities.

 

 

As the developing tropical low approaches the coast, a storm tide is expected between Hamilton Island and St Lawrence, particularly on the high tide on Thursday and Friday. Large waves may produce minor flooding along the foreshore. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to help their neighbours.

 

 

A separate Severe Weather Warning is current for remaining coastal and island communities from Cooktown to Port Douglas and from St Lawrence to Gladstone.

 

 

People between Port Douglas and Mackay should take precautions and listen to the next advice at 2pm.

- Information is available from your local government

- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)

- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).

 

 

People between Mackay and St Lawrence, and inland through the eastern interior north of Clermont, should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases.

- Information is available from your local government

- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)

- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).

 

 

Name: Tropical Low

IDQ65001.jpg

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Guest The Pom Queen

Please remember its not just where the cyclone hits but areas North of Townsville usually get cut off, so you will have probably seen all the panic buying already. We went out for bread and fuel last night, all the bread had gone, tins were sold out, no milk or water, no batteries, and a few packs of toilet roll left. Now for Cairns residents I agree with the current track map and can't see it ending up back on us but we still have the storm surge, flooding and the fact we could and usually do lose power as well as the supermarket shelves running dry.

Cairns beaches are closed as of last night. Flooding in Portsmith as already caused a fire at the electricity junction box.

Also one thing we didn't know anything about until Yasi was that the cash machines stop working and also most shops can't take card, also fuel pumps no longer work. So today draw your cash out and fuel your car just in case.

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Also one thing we didn't know anything about until Yasi was that the cash machines stop working and also most shops can't take card, also fuel pumps no longer work. So today draw your cash out and fuel your car just in case.

 

Its the small things like that that you do not think about., We were lucky with our tornado as a small comunity the local supermarket owner knew us all and for about 5 days we all had credit accounts with him. Keep safe up there and we will be thinking of you all......

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Guest The Pom Queen
bit windy here but not bad....i'll be going to the shops in an hour, get a few weeks worth of food (yeah right, a few days) i'm really not worried...guess we'll find out tomorrow!

Stacy we are fine, its poor Bob and anyone South of the system who its going to hit hardest.

The tides have already caused flooding in Cairns (business gone under water in Portsmith) apart from Portsmith it only seems minor flooding and would probably have drained away now. Townsville have flooded pretty bad. How are you Bob? I checked your flood maps last night as I was worried. I wonder if our cabin will have been flooded. Evacuations still taking place in flood areas, please remember this is happening now. It when the cyclone hits the coast.

 

IDQ65001.png

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Guest The Pom Queen

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

 

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

 

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.

 

 

Remarks:

 

The tropical low is expected to move in a general southwest direction and develop before crossing the Queensland coast between Lucinda and Proserpine on Friday morning.

 

The low and a strong ridge of high pressure further south are combining to generate GALES at times along much of the east coast between Cardwell and St Lawrence. Winds are expected to increase further between Lucinda and St Lawrence, and particularly about the Central Coast and Whitsundays district, during today with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 120 kilometres per hour possible.

 

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected to develop about coastal and adjacent inland areas of the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Herbert and Lower Burdekin and the Central Coast and Whitsundays districts during today.

 

Coastal residents between Lucinda and St Lawrence, including Townsville are specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide, particularly on the high tide today and on Friday. The sea is likely to rise steadily up to a level well above the normal tide, with damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas close to the shoreline. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by the authorities.

 

A storm tide is expected between Cardwell and Lucinda, particularly on the high tide on Thursday and Friday. Large waves may produce minor flooding along the foreshore. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to help their neighbours.

 

A separate Severe Weather Warning is current for remaining coastal and island communities from Cooktown to Cardwell and from St Lawrence to Gladstone.

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Guest The Pom Queen
When the central pressure drops below 985 hpa the low will become TC Dylan.......it will probably do this as it approaches the coastline but will only be a Cat 1......just a baby.....nothing really to be overly concerned about.

Its more the flooding Les how was your road today as I know you get cut off in the wet. I'm presuming it was ok.

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Guest The Pom Queen
Sad we cant pipe all that water out west to the farmers, would like a bit down in Northern Vic if any spare as well

They are saying the farmers should get some rain out of this system so fingers crossed

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