We applied mid-September but still no Visa. One of my sons' medicals has been referred (though it's REALLY minor), I think that's what we're waiting for - that has been referred for around 5 weeks now. When that was sent for a referral our CO suggested mid May as a likely Visa date - the full 9 months.
This thread makes it feel like all the September applicants have been granted. Is that the case??