Australia Population Set to Double to 46 million

[Guest The Pom Queen]

The latest forecast from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows Australia's population will double in the next 60 years, driven by strong increases in Victoria and New South Wales.

 

 

The bureau is projecting the population will soar from just under 23 million people to 46 million by 2075.

 

 

Western Australia is expected to have the largest rise, while Tasmania is the only state that is expected to see a decline in population.

 

 

The bureau's director of demography Bjorn Jarvis says by 2028 Perth will overtake Brisbane as Australia's third-biggest city, with 3 million people.

 

 

"And then 10 years later, the Australian Capital Territory [will overtake] Tasmania," he said in a statement.

 

 

"Melbourne and Sydney should be neck and neck by 2053, with 7.9 million people each.

 

 

"By 2040, Western Australia's population is projected to almost double in size, from 2.4 million people in 2012 to 4.7 million.

 

 

"Queensland will have gone from 4.6 million people to 7.3 million, and the Australian Capital Territory will have grown from 375,000 people to 586,000."

 

 

The Northern Territory's population will increase by 51 per cent to 360,000, while Victoria's population will grow by 50 per cent 8.4 million.

 

 

In New South Wales, the population will climb by 35 per cent to 9.9 million.

 

 

Tasmania's population is tipped to level out by 2040, and then begin falling.

 

 

Average age to rise above 40

 

 

Meanwhile, low fertility rates and longer life spans are expected to increase the proportion of older people in Australia's population.

 

 

"In 2012 Australia's median age was 37 years old, by 2040 it could be 40.5 years," Mr Jarvis said.

 

 

The ABS predicts the number of people aged over 65 will double to 6.8 million people by 2040.

 

 

The number of people aged over 65 will almost triple to 1.2 million.

 

 

"By then, people aged 85 years or over will make up 4 per cent of Australia's population, compared to only 2 per cent in 2012,"the ABS said.

 

 

The ABS has not dismissed the possibility that the national population could hit 46 million much sooner than 2075.

[Guest Ptp113]

The ACT will have to take land from NSW to grow to 560,000. It will remove most of the farmland which makes up the majority of the ACT, not a good thing.

[Guest The Pom Queen]

The ACT will have to take land from NSW to grow to 560,000. It will remove most of the farmland which makes up the majority of the ACT, not a good thing.

Melbourne use to be mainly fields now its new suburbs and housing estates :no:

[Guest Ptp113]

Melbourne use to be mainly fields now its new suburbs and housing estates :no:

 

Same here. Canberra is mainly working farms in between the suburbs, and that will all go.

[starlight7]

Silly thing is that they build on good arable land instead of pushing the houses into the areas with poor growing conditions. After all these years they still don't use the interior at all- maybe they need lessons from the Arabic nations? Even many of the bush towns struggle, no incentives to live there at all.

[Guest Ptp113]

Silly thing is that they build on good arable land instead of pushing the houses into the areas with poor growing conditions. After all these years they still don't use the interior at all- maybe they need lessons from the Arabic nations? Even many of the bush towns struggle, no incentives to live there at all.

 

Not enough population, so not enough tax, therefore not enough infrastructure. A nation roughly the size of the U.S with a fifteenth of the population.

[calNgary]

It will be good if they provide the infrastructure and services this amount of people will require.

I know around Sth Brisbane huge new satellite cities are going ahead as planned years ago and surprisingly the property being built on them is selling fast.

 

Cal x

[maidensarah]

The latest forecast from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows Australia's population will double in the next 60 years, driven by strong increases in Victoria and New South Wales.

 

 

The bureau is projecting the population will soar from just under 23 million people to 46 million by 2075.

 

 

Western Australia is expected to have the largest rise, while Tasmania is the only state that is expected to see a decline in population.

 

 

The bureau's director of demography Bjorn Jarvis says by 2028 Perth will overtake Brisbane as Australia's third-biggest city, with 3 million people.

 

 

"And then 10 years later, the Australian Capital Territory [will overtake] Tasmania," he said in a statement.

 

 

"Melbourne and Sydney should be neck and neck by 2053, with 7.9 million people each.

 

 

"By 2040, Western Australia's population is projected to almost double in size, from 2.4 million people in 2012 to 4.7 million.

 

 

"Queensland will have gone from 4.6 million people to 7.3 million, and the Australian Capital Territory will have grown from 375,000 people to 586,000."

 

 

The Northern Territory's population will increase by 51 per cent to 360,000, while Victoria's population will grow by 50 per cent 8.4 million.

 

 

In New South Wales, the population will climb by 35 per cent to 9.9 million.

 

 

Tasmania's population is tipped to level out by 2040, and then begin falling.

 

 

Average age to rise above 40

 

 

Meanwhile, low fertility rates and longer life spans are expected to increase the proportion of older people in Australia's population.

 

 

"In 2012 Australia's median age was 37 years old, by 2040 it could be 40.5 years," Mr Jarvis said.

 

 

The ABS predicts the number of people aged over 65 will double to 6.8 million people by 2040.

 

 

The number of people aged over 65 will almost triple to 1.2 million.

 

 

"By then, people aged 85 years or over will make up 4 per cent of Australia's population, compared to only 2 per cent in 2012,"the ABS said.

 

 

The ABS has not dismissed the possibility that the national population could hit 46 million much sooner than 2075.

 

Will this mostly be through immigration or people having babies? Please excuse my ignorance. I don't know a lot about anything except my babies at this time in my life

[CNC FABS]

So at what level does the 'big country' plan actually work. You know, when you have such a size population, growth across all sectors becomes self sustaining in parts ???.

[djmanu]

It's still nothing for a big country like this.

Just add population of each coast states in the US and you'll have around 200m people.

Australia could easily have 200 million people as they have more coast than the USA, just don't pack all these people in Sydney and Melbourne, create new large cities around the coast (even Darwin should have more than 5m people) and Australia could become a new super power

Unfortunately it won't happen anytime soon, Australian have no ambition

[Bobj]

It's still nothing for a big country like this.

Just add population of each coast states in the US and you'll have around 200m people.

Australia could easily have 200 million people as they have more coast than the USA, just don't pack all these people in Sydney and Melbourne, create new large cities around the coast (even Darwin should have more than 5m people) and Australia could become a new super power

Unfortunately it won't happen anytime soon, Australian have no ambition

 

Oh, I dunno...I want to catch a barramundi measuring 1.25 metres...:tongue:

 

Cheers, Bobj.

[Rallyman]

Infrastructure is the biggest problem and at present can you honestly see this being improved there is a massive debt to pay off property is out of reach for a lot of people a lot of things to sort out

[Petals]

I guess a start would be for people to stop wanting to live in the large cities. Successive governments have been trying for yonks to get new migrants to move to rural ares and towns, however the migrants then devise ways to avoid going to the country and want to live in the cities. This really has to change.

 

Until we get real change in attitude to the rural and country areas of Australia the cities are going to become clogged if they are not already.

[coastie]

I would love to live out of the city but there aren't any skilled jobs.

 

Also what about South Australia?