Thanks for this, interesting info. It does seem that an under 55 solution is unlikely to be forthcoming. As for the transfer value, it has risen a lot over the last few years but who knows what the next valuation would be? I did read about DB values falling but then, when I got mine valued after that, it had gone up substantially again. The exchange rate is also a factor. We have had $3 to the pound in the not too distant past and, while it seems unlikely now, it is possible we could get to those sort of levels again. I have a feeling the $500k cap won't happen and that the cap amount is likely to be higher than that, maybe $1 million which is a much more reasonable level.
I have no previous NCCs.
Potentially moving into a UK based money purchase scheme could be an answer to capture an attractive transfer value and then hold until age 55?