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Forecaster Dennis Luke warns of 50C days in Victoria


Guest The Pom Queen

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Guest The Pom Queen

We have had a few expats who have moved over this winter and have really struggled to cope with the weather, saying its wet and cold like the UK, for some it is making it hard for them to settle and along with other reasons they consider going back. I keep saying wait for summer and you will then be complaining it is too hot, this has already happened with the families who we brought over 12 months ago who have lived through a summer. They are now saying "thank goodness it is raining, we need the rain". LOL:biggrin:

I like Melbournes weather, I admit it has been a cold and wet September and I am sure I read it had been the wettest in 9 years, but lets hope it means that the water restrictions stay at Level 3A and don't go up to 4. Although after reading todays article it looks like 50 degree days will soon be the norm:chatterbox:

50C days forecast for Victoria | Herald Sun

 

DUST storms, even less rain and temperatures of 50C may become common in Victoria by the end of the decade.

 

And temperatures could rise by 6C in the second half of the century.

Experts warned extreme weather conditions could become the norm for the state and leave people with "nowhere to hide".

Forecaster Dennis Luke said Victorians should prepare to swelter this summer.

"My research shows that it is quite possible that we will experience a 50C day this summer," he said.

"And those days could become frequent by the end of the decade."

University of Melbourne earth scientist Prof Ian Simmonds agreed, saying moisture-thick hot air was accumulating in the tropics before moving to Victoria.

"As the planet gets warmer, air (in the tropics) can hold more moisture. It means more heat is getting into the atmosphere and moving down to Victoria," Prof Simmonds said.

"I won't be here to see the worst of it, but it is frightening and there'll be nowhere to hide."

A study by US climate experts at international agency National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration predicted dust storms in eastern Australia, similar to those from the late 1950s to early 1970s, could become common.

British climate experts earlier predicted rainfall would decline by at least a fifth along Australia's coastline.

Prof Simmonds said that would be partly because of drying conditions and increased strong winds.

Damien Lawson, of Friends of the Earth Australia, said governments must stop supporting dirty coal and shift investment to clean renewable energy.

"The science is clear. We are moving towards desert conditions in the southeast of Australia unless we act to halt global warming," he said.

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Guest proud2beaussie

His "research"? How can you "research" a prediction? I am getting heartedly sick of the doomsayers who basically would predict that the world would end on a certain date if they thought it would give a fillip to their political agenda,I am not a climate change sceptic,I believe it is real and that we must take urgent action to stop it before it gets even more out of hand,but predicting 50° days will do nothing to achieve that aim-it will simply scare people and may in fact make it worse because people might be tempted to install newer and bigger air conditioners and start wasting water again-and that wouldn't do anyuthing for the environment.

Edited to add: Just saw this line

I won't be here to see the worst of it, but it is frightening and there'll be nowhere to hide."
all I can say to that is what the f**k is he trying to achive by that ? it will simply do nothing to stop climate change-just make people scared and that is never a good thing-scared people don't react well in a crisis.
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Guest Guest31881
His "research"? How can you "research" a prediction? I am getting heartedly sick of the doomsayers who basically would predict that the world would end on a certain date if they thought it would give a fillip to their political agenda,I am not a climate change sceptic,I believe it is real and that we must take urgent action to stop it before it gets even more out of hand,but predicting 50° days will do nothing to achieve that aim-it will simply scare people and may in fact make it worse because people might be tempted to install newer and bigger air conditioners and start wasting water again-and that wouldn't do anyuthing for the environment.

Edited to add: Just saw this line all I can say to that is what the f**k is he trying to achive by that ? it will simply do nothing to stop climate change-just make people scared and that is never a good thing-scared people don't react well in a crisis.

 

Hi

I agree with 100% with what you say, but a concern of mine would be that in 50 to 100 yrs the earth will be running out of natural resources such as coal and oil. Global warming may cure itself when fossil fuels are exhausted. I also wonder about the logic of finding Large gas and oil fields then selling it all to other countries. when the natural resources start to run low, who will lay claim to what is left? The country that has the resources or the country that lays claim to them because of a deal to sell everything to someone else. Or will countries invade other countries on the pretext of freeing them so that they can claim the oil and gas........Or has that already happened? :err:

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Having been here for over thirty years and over twenty on the Mornington Peninsula winter, August and September have just been usual weather for this time of year and wet is what we like in these months so the trees get a good drink to manage the summer. 13 years since we had a wet September I know because my best friend moved to Queensland that year and took the winter rain with her.

 

It does not get anywhere near as cold as the UK its just that when in a rental the landlords often put in the aesthetic stuff and forget about the comfort stuff like being a warm and cool house.

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Guest ragdoll annie

Most landlords wouldnt give a toss about insulation.The aesthetic stuff is to get you in...you pay the massive electric bill when freezing in winter and roasting in summer.If each rental had to state its energy efficiency it might be a different story.

Annie x

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Guest Working to fish
Hi

I agree with 100% with what you say, but a concern of mine would be that in 50 to 100 yrs the earth will be running out of natural resources such as coal and oil. Global warming may cure itself when fossil fuels are exhausted. I also wonder about the logic of finding Large gas and oil fields then selling it all to other countries. when the natural resources start to run low, who will lay claim to what is left? The country that has the resources or the country that lays claim to them because of a deal to sell everything to someone else. Or will countries invade other countries on the pretext of freeing them so that they can claim the oil and gas........Or has that already happened? :err:

 

Um the good old U,S ,of, A ,:idea:comes to mind

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Guest sh7t man no way
I think the readers' comments below that article are more accurate!! Didn't the "experts" predict a "barbecue summer" in the UK this year too and have to eat their words??

its being a loverly summer in the homeland---ive enjoyed lots--its the light nights i love,and now its oct,the coulers, and smells are amazing.as for weather peaple who predict--what a waste of space--i wake up in the morning look out of the window and take it from there.

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Guest Toorak Trev

The new comers must be pussies then. You call this cold? If any of them are from Newcastle their parents will be so embarrased.

 

Bloody hell, what are they breeding over there these days pansies??

 

I've been swimming in our indoor/outdoor pool since beginning of Sept.

 

Next they will be complaining about the stiflying heat.:biglaugh:

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