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Roberta2 last won the day on January 20 2015

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About Roberta2

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  1. I do wish people would stop conflating a freeze with backdating. A freeze is normal practice and all governments do it. Obviously, this legislation will now have to wait until the next parliamentary session. But the government has just shown its ability to get contentious legislation through the Senate without the support of either the ALP or the Greens. Not without some important concessions, of course - but politics is the art of the possible. (Senator Lambie was a surprise..I think the Catholic lobby may have overdone it with her.) Senator Michaelia Cash, who represents Dutton in the Senate, will be the chief negotiator in the Senate for the Bill on citizenship changes. Basically, she will have to make enough concessions to round up six Senators (One Nation is in the bag already, of course.) A lot can happen in a few weeks too of course - e.g. more terrorist attacks in Australia.
  2. Canada seems to be six years.
  3. How long does it take PRs to be eligible for citizenship in "comparable countries"? e.g. Canada, UK, US. I don't know the answer, but it very likely to be a question asked by the crossbench senators.
  4. Not yet clear. While parliament is supposed to rise tonight, the Senate will be debating the education Bill late into the night, probably - but it's not unheard of for the Senate to continue to sit on the Friday. In that case, the numbers in the Senate may be there to pass the Bill in amended form if Dutton is willing to make enough changes.
  5. It's still possible a deal will be struck by the end of this week. The Gonski 2 education reforms debate starts in the Senate today; IF a deal can be struck there, it's possible there will still be time and energy for a compromise on the citizenship changes. The Senate is supposed to rise Thursday night, but it's not unprecedented for it to sit on the Friday.
  6. Labor having said it will not support these changes, the government has decided not to try its luck with the Senate - especially with the fight over education funding taking all the time and energy now. Parliament sits again 8-17 August. Until then, yes everything will be frozen. The issue could be hived off to a Senate committee, possibly.
  7. A lot of horse trading is taking place. Without the support of the ALP and the Greens, the Government will need the support of 10 of the 12 crossbenchers in the Senate. Difficult but not impossible - and of course the Government will have to be willing to make changes to get the Bill (in some form) across the line.
  8. The Greens hold 9 Senate seats. The government has 29; it needs 39 to pass a Bill. So if the ALP and the Greens won't pass this Bill, the government has to get the support of 10 of the 12 crossbenchers. Like herding cats. Hanson's One Nation has 4 seats; her support is assured on this. IF the ALP supports some amended version of the Bill, the Senate becomes irrelevant. The outcome could well hinge on the ALP Caucus meeting some time early next week. Among other things, the Caucus members from Queensland will be very wary of conceding ground to Hanson - State elections are due fairly soon, and she is polling strongly in regional and rural seats where unemployment is high and job prospects generally gloomy.
  9. The union movement is not a monolith either. The CMFEU and the AWU are rarely on the same page, for example. As to Labor and the Greens, they are at daggers drawn over Gonski 2 - and the Greens are also internally divided on that one. All good fun, but outcomes hard to predict. All you can say for sure is that they will all be pretty tired by the end of next week!
  10. There are often problems when such people go into aged care if/when they cannot communicate with the staff. Obviously, the families can't be there all the time to interpret. Only a few migrant communities are big enough to deal with this problem.
  11. The Parliamentary Winter session ends 22 June. A lot of contentious Bills, including this one, are likely to go to the wire, but that's pretty standard. It's not uncommon for parliament to sit late into the night, or even to have a session on the Friday if necessary.
  12. Yes. Otherwise the ALP and the Greens would be howling about it, no?
  13. I was wrong on the timing. The ALP caucus is meeting next week to deliberate on this bill, so obviously it's going to take a bit longer.
  14. It's a bit confusing, but technically this Bill is to amend - in effect replace - two previous Acts of Parliament. Next stage is for the Opposition, the Greens and possibly independent Members of the House of Representatives to propose their own amendments. After that, it's a process of negotiation(haggling) to see whether the Government can get this Bill (as amended) passed in the lower house, where it has only a one seat majority. If the ALP supports an amended version of the bill, it will pass through the Senate without further amendments because the crossbenchers will not be able to stop it.
  15. Basically, four Australians killed by terrorists in Australia, and at least a dozen plots foiled. Extra time to check up on those who already have PR, since once they have citizenship it is much harder to deport them. Dual citizens can be deported, but you can't deport anyone who has become an Australian citizen and renounced his/her former citizenship. The Lindt cafe siege also showed a lot of flaws in the system re Momis, especially the lack of effective communication among various state agencies and judicial systems. Call it all a loss of innocence if you like.