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Posts posted by Marisawright

  1. 1 hour ago, Jon the Hat said:

    I mean I'm not convinced 80% is achievable in Australia.  The UK is close to 90% on first dose, so I guess that will be the overall, but for example the US only got to about 70%, Israel 60% despite having plenty of vaccines available.

    I agree, 80% is going to be tough I think.   I guess the key is for all those people in the UK who are desperate to get to Australia (or for their families to visit them) to start nagging their Australian relatives!

    • Like 1

  2. 9 hours ago, newjez said:

    I did read an article once, which suggested that we often carry the cold virus in our noses, and when we get cold, and the blood supply to the nose is restricted, the virus activities. Not sure if the theory was supported.

    It was proved, by the Cold Institute in the UK before it was closed down, that the one reliable way of making someone catch a cold was to make them move suddenly from hot environments to cold ones, or vice versa.

    That's why we get colds in cold weather - not because it's cold, but because people overheat their houses, then step out into the freezing cold, or vice versa.  It's why Australians get summer colds, because they over-cool their houses and then step out into 30 degrees. 

    I dont think they had worked out WHY that was, but they had proved they could give people colds that way.

    • Like 1

  3. 4 minutes ago, HappyHeart said:

    What’s the deal with compassionate exemptions for flying back to UK? Do you have to be visiting someone at deaths door and are flights readily available? Anyone know?

    Pretty much. The government wouldn’t  care if people leave Australia, except that they’re going to want to come back and take up a scarce seat on a plane and a place in quarantine 

    • Like 1

  4. 2 hours ago, Rossmoyne said:

    Has anyone else heard about the efficacy of the PCR Test that is being globally used for diagnosis, is in question.   Something to do with false positives?   I read something the other day, but can't seem to find it now.  

    I saw something about that this morning. Wrong results can be as frequent as one in every two tests

  5. 40 minutes ago, welljock said:

    Just googled and on wiki it is 4th in relation to average crowd numbers only behind the NFL, Bundesliga and EPL. Big Bash is actually 6th. 


    ...but if it's crowd numbers, AFL is high because games within Australia are so well-attended.  Same with Bundesliga and NFL in their respective countries.  If you're talking about an Olympic sport then it has to have international appeal, so you have to look at how many countries have proper competitions in that sport, and also  TV audiences worldwide.

  6. 16 minutes ago, Parley said:

    Is it really high?

    It would be high if there was no lockdown.  Are you suggesting that Sydney should stay in full lockdown until everyone can get two Pfizer jabs (which, like I say, would be months away)?

    Why have you had so many tests?

  7. 20 hours ago, simmo said:

    Climate changes.  It's been doing it since the big bang.

    Yes that's right, and sometimes those changes have led to extinctions.  There have been periods since the big bang when humans could not have survived on Earth because the climate was too hostile. 

    So there is an argument that yes, we should just sit back and let it happen, and if it leads to the destruction of our civilisation - which every scientific analysis says it will - well, that's just part of the evolution of the planet.  

    In a way, we should be saying, let's hope these climate changes ARE man-made.  Because if they really are just normal climate change as you say, then there's nothing we can do to stop it and our civilisation has another couple of centuries to go, if it's very lucky.  Whereas if our actions are contributing to the problem, we can do something about it.

    • Like 1

  8. 21 minutes ago, Parley said:

    It is a risk benefit calculation as has always been the case.

    Yes, and now Sydney is in a situation where the risk of catching Covid is high, but most people will have to wait weeks for their first Pfizer shot, then wait another six weeks for their next Pfizer shot, then wait another couple of weeks for that to be fully effective.  Whereas people who opted for the AZ are already fully protected and are not taking up places in the queue.

    Your risk of dying from clots related to AZ are less than your risk of dying from side effects of several other drugs that we choose to take.  Of course you're going to find a few hundred examples of people dying when there are MILLIONS of people getting the AZ vaccine.  Did you know there are around 3,000 deaths every year in the UK from aspirin?  

    • Like 1

  9. 4 hours ago, Rallyman said:

    That is correct but many choose to ignore the request as it’s against their culture as DD as said in previous posts they have their own enclave and culture not interested in the greater Australia 

    I'm not sure that's the reason.  I've heard a  reason that convinces me more:  many of these first-generation immigrants escaped from nasty, dictatorial regimes who didn't hesitate to maim or kill their citizens. So when silly rumours circulate about governments trying to poison everyone with vaccines or inject tracking devices, they are very likely to believe them.

  10. 11 hours ago, newjez said:

    They have been fully open about the side effects and any risk factors for all the vaccines. It's there for anyone to see. Aside from that I know multiple people who have had strokes, pulmonary embolisms, dvts, on blood thinners and previously on blood thinners. They all had AZ. The clotting with AZ is an allergic reaction, which bears no relationship to other clots that people have. It is similar to an allergic reaction to warfarin. This is all public knowledge. There are no secrets. But if a patient is worried and won't take AZ, then it's better that they take another vaccine than none at all.

    I think we're all assuming that all GP's are knowledgeable and are taking the trouble to get fully informed.   It's clearly not the case, because it's been reported that some GP's are simply refusing to vaccinate with AZ at all.  So clearly, some GP's are not immune to being frightened by ill-informed publicity, just like the rest of the population.

    • Like 5

  11. 4 hours ago, Bulya said:

    Yet it’s played in over 40 countries..

    Be fair, Bulya, you know perfectly well that most of those teams are mainly homesick Aussies playing at amateur level.   The British AFL is the most developed but I bet the great majority of Brits have no idea it even exists. 

    I had to laugh because AFL London claims AFL is the fourth biggest spectator sports in the world, but a bit of Googling showed it actually ranks anywhere from 10th (at the best) to somewhere in the 60's.  

    • Like 1

  12. 5 minutes ago, VyVy said:

    How do you think it's that easy Linda, after paying more than S4k and waiting for 4 years? Many people still rely on info in the website to apply this year. Many still innocently believe they just need to wait 5-6 years. They need to be warned by people who are already in the trap.

    Linda isn't saying it's easy, of course it's a tough decision.  But you only have two choices - wait, or withdraw.  You can make a fuss about it if you like, but the government has the research on its side - parents on parent visas cost Australia thousands of dollars in medical and age care costs, far in excess of the fees paid.They know the average Australian taxpayer would be against increasing that expenditure. 

    • Like 1

  13. 8 hours ago, BCCanuck said:

    I have read through some of the comments and some are on the side...told ya so...

    Well, you can't deny that I did warn you.  Not your fault, you wouldn't be the first person to think that "permanent" meant "permanent".   I just pointed out the facts - that you failed to meet the criteria by a country mile.  You may think the criteria are cock-eyed, but they are what they are.   You were asking them to base their decision on a mere promise that you would, in the future, move a valuable business to Australia -but for all they know, you might have just closed down your business in Canada and retired to Oz.  

    If you had gone for an investor visa, you have to prove your ability and commitment to invest.  That's the difference.   

    • Like 1

  14. 14 hours ago, Jon the Hat said:

    I feel like we have had this conversation before!  Every case in every country except China meets that criteria technically.  These 2/3 case in Perth today are from a ships crew, but people need to eat, have medicines etc.

    It is a stretch to say stopping international arrivals will make any difference when you still need planes to come in with cargo, and they have either none or a 20-30 passengers on them. 

    @Jon the Hat, to expand on my answer:  there have been no outbreaks in Australia from cargo ships.  Ship's crew are very strictly controlled.  Example - Queensland reported 19 cases today, all of them crew members on a cargo ship. But officials went onto the ship to do the testing.  The crew won't be allowed onshore unless one of them gets sick enough to need hospitalisation. 

    Which is what has just happened in Perth.  Two critically-ill cargo crew had to be brought onshore, and two unprotected hospital staff walked into a lift immediately after those two crewmen had been in it.  But that is still not an outbreak (at least, not yet).  The two staff have been quarantined as a precaution.

    No one is blaming the international travelers.  It's the decision to quarantine travelers in city-centre hotels that we're blaming.  There have been no leaks of infection from Howard Springs, you'll notice. We all feel sorry for arrivals, stuck in hotel rooms with windows that don't open, at risk of catching Covid themselves from others in quarantine. It's disgraceful that governments haven't made more effort to replicate Howard Springs in other states. 

    • Like 3

  15. 8 hours ago, BCCanuck said:

    Got the RRV refusal today...seems they didn't even take into account compassionate and compelling reasons which primarily kept me out the country.......

     While the applicant need not have physical residence in Australia, they should have substantial ownership interests in the business. The business should be an Australian business or a branch of a business, which has connections with Australia.

    The applicant claims to have substantial ties of benefit to Australia as he has quotes/ purchased [plumbing equipment from an Australian company] for use in his business overseas

    I did try to warn you.   

    I think maybe you've misunderstood what constitutes "a tie".  They're looking for indications that even though you left, you still kept something of your old life to come back to, e.g. you have family members here, or you kept your home here, or your bank accounts, or you put a manager into your former Australian business and you're still running it.  

    Having a business overseas and ordering stuff from Australia is a business relationship, not a "tie"".  

    The fact of the matter is though, that your reasons don't sound convincing either.  Your reason for leaving is compelling (losing a child is a terrible tragedy), and one could well  imagine the bereaved parents needing support for a few years, but did they really need your support for a whole 18 years?  Did you supply evidence to cover the whole period? 

    If you want to return, you'll need to apply for another visa.  If you have a business that you can bring to Australia then there are investor visas you could look into.

  16. 22 minutes ago, Jon the Hat said:

    I feel like we have had this conversation before!  Every case in every country except China meets that criteria technically.  These 2/3 case in Perth today are from a ships crew, but people need to eat, have medicines etc.

    It is a stretch to say stopping international arrivals will make any difference when you still need planes to come in with cargo, and they have either none or a 20-30 passengers on them. 

    None of our outbreaks have arisen from ships bringing cargo. Those crew stay offshore. The weak point is hotel quarantine, which is leaky

  17. 1 hour ago, Jon the Hat said:

    Do you have any evidence whatsoever that international flights have anything to do with it?  You do realise people on international flights are tested before the fly and twice in Quarantine, and also mostly vaccinated, whereas the cases in the community are just told to stay at home despite actually being in certain contact with infected people?  I think some people actually with the virus are self isolating at home, whereas international arrivals are very likely not to have the virus, are mostly vaccinated so much less likely to spread it, and are locked in quarantine hotels.

    Every single outbreak in Australia has resulted from someone who’s arrived from overseas.

    However I agree, stopping international arrivals would make no difference to the current Sydney outbreak 

    • Like 2

  18. 1 hour ago, Parley said:

    I don't follow Sydney as closely as Melbourne, but not too sure what Gladys has done wrong.

    Her lockdown sounds about the same as ours. We are all allowed out for exercise, groceries, medical appointments etc so not like we are chained to the bed.

    No, it hasn't been anything like ours.  For the first few weeks of the so-called lockdown, shops didn't have to close.  People were told not to go out except for essentials, but most retail stores were still open normal hours, including dress shops, shoe shops, furniture stores, Bunnings etc.. So you can imagine what happened!  However, the bigger problem was that all the managers and shop assistants and cleaners and delivery workers for those shops had to go to work every day.  You can imagine how many thousands of people were traveling across Sydney every single day because of that.  Not to mention the risk in the shops themselves - one woman worked an 11-hour shift in IKEA while infected. 

    That's how the virus got spread across the whole of Sydney, though the worst of it is in the West (where most of those workers come from).  

    They've tightened things up now, but the travel restriction is still 10km from home unless you're in one of the high-risk suburbs, not 5km as we had.  

    • Like 3

  19. 3 hours ago, jimmyay1 said:

    I cannot wait to slam the door on my way out. Good luck to Australia attracting new skilled migrants or anyone else other than the totally desperate. 


    In that case, off you go.  There is nothing worse than living in a country where you don't feel at home, so why do it?  There is absolutely nothing stopping you leaving now.    Admittedly it's very difficult to leave if you only want to leave temporarily - but if you want to leave permanently, you can go.   You just need to apply for permission.    People do get refused but it's only because the authorities aren't convinced they're genuinely going for good - supply the right proof and you'll have no problems. 

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1

  20. 16 hours ago, Jon the Hat said:

    Short lockdowns and contact tracing etc in Perth is a lot different though to the same in a City 2-3 times the size depending on how you cut it.  Also the population density and williness of the population to do as they are asked it a big factor.  I wouldn't be giving him too much of the credit.

    Compare Melbourne and Sydney then, which are very close to the same size.   Melbourne had a big outbreak in 2020 but learned from it.  We've had a couple of outbreaks since which could very easily have gone the same way as Sydney's has now, but the Victorian government applied those lessons, got them under control in a couple of weeks and we got back to normal life (though admittedly, we still have to see if this current one has worked).

    NSW seems to have ignored all the lessons learned from Melbourne's experience. 

    Simple things like, don't talk to ordinary people about "'staying within your LGA".  Most of them don't know what that means.  Don't even talk about "stay in your suburb" because people don't know exactly where that starts and finishes.  Melbourne discovered that, and switched to 5km limits, which caused a lot less confusion.  It seems NSW wasn't paying attention.

    Simple things like, if you leave shops open, people will visit them even if they're asked not to.  The only way to make people stay at home except for essentials, is to make sure that only essentials are available. 

    Simple things like, don't have light restrictions in affluent areas if you're locking down disadvantaged areas, even if it makes logical sense to do so.  The disadvantaged will immediately think they're being victimized and you''ll have non-compliance and protests. 

    • Like 4