Heatwave 'amplified by climate change

[Perthbum]

Cant ignore it anymore.

 

Australia's hottest year on record was almost certainly amplified by human-induced climate change, research has found, with conditions set to get worse.

Compiled by Australian National University, Sydney University and Melbourne University teams, the research found that the sweltering of 2013 is just a taste of what is to come without deep cuts in greenhouse gases.

So extreme was last year's weather that the researchers' computer simulations could not replicate the 2013 conditions without factoring in human-induced climate change.

In 2013 Australia set a series of temperature records including the nation's hottest summer day, its warmest winter day, the warmest January and September on record and a summer that was 1.11C hotter than average.

But Australia was not the only country with extreme weather.

The American Meteorological Society compiled research from around the world into what role human-induced climate change played in the conditions.

In Australia's case, which used measurements and computer simulations, the research noted that anthropogenic warming combined with drought conditions in the nation's east dramatically increased the chances of 2013 being the hottest on record.

The researchers estimated that the risk of an extreme heat and drought combination had increased seven-fold across Australia since the mid-1800s.

The chance of maximum temperatures rising above the threshold year of 2002 is now 23 times higher than it was in the late 19th century.

Across all the research, the record temperatures set in Australia through 2013 were because of human-induced climate change.

"The annual mean anomalies for 2013 were either completely outside of, or extremely rare in, the distributions of modelled natural variability," it was noted.

"Even if the global warming 'hiatus' continues, further extreme (record or near-record) seasonal or annual mean warm anomalies at the regional scale can be anticipated."

 

https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/25189001/heatwave-amplified-by-climate-change/

[MARYROSE02]

And when we get an equally odd cold snap, that is also blamed on climate change. Total BS. I'm far more worried about ISIS and Ebola. Incidentally, would you regard the unusually hot summer in the UK in 1976 as proof of climate change? What about the unusally cold winters of a couple of years ago?

 

What about the climate change activists from the UNSW who went on a trip to the Antarctic to prove that the ice was melting and then their ship got stuck in the ice. You could not make it up.

[Scrutineer]

Temperatures well into the 40s were recorded by the First Fleet, and regular ones as well, so I'm not entirely convinced by these arguments. I will say the last few years have increased in temperature here in the Adelaide summers at least, to the point where we had to "head to the hills" so to speak just get a breath of air, and we bought in the hills because the temperature is usually 2/3 degrees cooler there, plus more breezes. If they continue to climb we shall have to see, but my money is on it going the other way as part of a cycle.

[flybyknight]

here's a good one, sooooo you think you are not a product of the media you consume?

 

The Strange Relationship Between Global Warming Denial and…Speaking English

Climate denial isn't a worldwide delusion. It's a distinctly Anglophone one.

 

Rupert Murdoch and David Koch, photographed shortly after speaking English to one another

Here in the United States, we fret a lot about global warming denial. Not only is it a dangerous delusion, it's an incredibly prevalent one. Depending on your survey instrument of choice, we regularly learn that substantial minorities of Americans deny, or are skeptical of, the science of climate change.

The global picture, however, is quite different. For instance, recently the UK-based market research firm Ipsos MORI released its "Global Trends 2014" report, which included a number of survey questions on the environment asked across 20 countries. (h/t Leo Hickman). And when it came to climate change, the result was very telling:

 

Ipsos MORI Global Trends, 2014

 

 

Note that these results are not perfectly comparable across countries, because the data were gathered online, and Ipsos MORI cautions that for developing countries like India and China, "the results should be viewed as representative of a more affluent and 'connected' population."

Nonetheless, some pretty significant patterns are apparent. Perhaps most notably: Not only is the United States clearly the worst in its climate denial, but Great Britain and Australia are second and third worst, respectively. Canada, meanwhile, is the seventh worst.

What do these four nations have in common? They all speak the language of Shakespeare.

Why would that be? After all, presumably there is nothing about English, in and of itself, that predisposes you to climate change denial. Words and phrases like "doubt," "natural causes," "climate models," and other skeptic mots are readily available in other languages. So what's the real cause?

One possible answer is that it's all about the political ideologies prevalent in these four countries.

The US climate change counter movement is comprised of 91 separate organizations, with annual funding, collectively, of "just over $900 million." And they all speak English.

"I do not find these results surprising," says Riley Dunlap, a sociologist at Oklahoma State University who has extensively studied the climate denial movement. "It's the countries where neo-liberalism is most hegemonic and with strong neo-liberal regimes (both in power and lurking on the sidelines to retake power) that have bred the most active denial campaigns—US, UK, Australia and now Canada. And the messages employed by these campaigns filter via the media and political elites to the public, especially the ideologically receptive portions." (Neoliberalism is an economic philosophy centered on the importance of free markets and broadly opposed to big government interventions.)

Indeed, the English language media in three of these four countries are linked together by a single individual: Rupert Murdoch. An apparent climate skeptic orlukewarmer, Murdoch is the chairman of News Corp and 21st Century Fox. (You can watch him express his climate views here.) Some of the media outlets subsumed by the two conglomerates that he heads are responsible for quite a lot of English language climate skepticism and denial.

In the US, Fox News and the Wall Street Journal lead the way; research shows that Fox watching increases distrust of climate scientists. (You can also catch Fox Newsin Canada.) In Australia, a recent study found that slightly under a third of climate-related articles in 10 top Australian newspapers "did not accept" the scientific consensus on climate change, and that News Corp papers—the Australian, theHerald Sun, and the Daily Telegraph—were particular hotbeds of skepticism. "TheAustralian represents climate science as matter of opinion or debate rather than as a field for inquiry and investigation like all scientific fields," noted the study.

And then there's the UK. A 2010 academic study found that while News Corp outlets in this country from 1997 to 2007 did not produce as much strident climate skepticism as did their counterparts in the US and Australia, "the Sun newspaper offered a place for scornful skeptics on its opinion pages as did The Times andSunday Times to a lesser extent." (There are also other outlets in the UK, such as the Daily Mail, that feature plenty of skepticism but aren't owned by News Corp.)

Thus, while there may not be anything inherent to the English language that impels climate denial, the fact that English language media are such a major source of that denial may in effect create a language barrier.

And media aren't the only reason that denialist arguments are more readily available in the English language. There's also the Anglophone nations' concentration of climate "skeptic" think tanks, which provide the arguments and rationalizations necessary to feed this anti-science position. According to a study in Climatic Changeearlier this year, the US is home to 91 different organizations (think tanks, advocacy groups, and trade associations) that collectively comprise a "climate change counter-movement." The annual funding of these organizations, collectively, is "just over $900 million." That is a truly massive amount of English-speaking climate "skeptic" activity, and while the study was limited to the US, it is hard to imagine that anything comparable exists in non-English speaking countries.

Ben Page, the chief executive of Ipsos MORI (which released the data) adds another possible causative factor behind the survey's results, noting that environmental concern is very high in China today, due to the omnipresent conditions ofenvironmental pollution. By contrast, that's not a part of your everyday experience in England or Australia. "In many surveys in China, environment is the top concern," Page comments. "In contrast, in the west, it's a long way down the list behind the economy and crime."

Whatever the precise concatenation of causes, the evidence seems clear. We English speakers have a special problem when it comes to understanding and accepting climate science. In language, we're Anglophones; but in climate science, we're a bunch of Anglophonies.

 

 

http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/07/climate-denial-us-uk-australia-canada-english

 

 

 

Edited October 22, 2014 by flybyknight
remove cut and paste remnants

[Scrutineer]

I've always found the deliberate attempt to create a nexus between people who are sceptical of global warming theories, and holocaust deniers, by the use of the word "deniers" somewhat tasteless. No one is denying anything, but simply questioning the theories. It's also silly to suggest this is purely an Anglophone thing as well, as there are plenty of sceptics writing in French and German among many other languages. I really think this debate needs to be handled with much less emotion than is usually the case.

[Guest Guest66881]

Off to find the beach towel and my sunnies:cool:

[Paul1Perth]

That's a very strange graph and doesn't mean anything without axes telling what the units are. I would expect China and India to think that their climate is being drastically affected by Human Activity, just about every major City is covered in smog, take a look at photos from Chinese cities, most people are wearing masks.