Hi Claire, Hi Chrisf
My impression is that so far, the POPC have dropped a bombshell on Alan Collett pretty much out of the blue and that, as yet, there has been no other announcement from DIAC.
Last June, Alan discovered that DIAC have received about double the number of CP applications as they have visas available for. They stopped granting visas last June but only for a month or so.
I heard at the time that there had been discussions within DIAC about possibly implementing the formal Queueing process, which has not been used with CP visas hitherto. However, I heard no more about the possibility so I assumed that the idea had been shelved.
As of today, George Lombard on British Expats seems to think that the possibility of the full, formal Queueing process is now very much on the cards but I have no idea whether they would suddenly impose it on existing applicants or whether they would say that it would only apply to applications received on or after dd/mm/yyyy.
If they do decide to implement the formal Queue business, then it will work in the same way as the process works for non-contributory Parents.
With non-contributory Parents, the drill is as follows:
1. When the application is received it is checked for basic validity.
2. If the application is valid, then the Parent is asked to produce Police Checks and Meds.
3. If both of those are OK, the Parent is given a formal Queue Date** and is added to the official Queue.
4. By the time the Parent reaches the head of the Queue, it is odds-on that the PCCs and Meds will have expired since they only have a shelf life of a year. So the Parent is asked to produce a second lot of PCCs and Meds.
5. If these new checks are also OK then the Parent is asked to organise the Assurance of Support, pay the 2nd Instalment and the visa is then granted.
** Queue Date: The significance of the Queue Date is that it enables Parents to use the Queue Calculator tool to see how many applicants are ahread of themselves in the Queue. From that, they can divide by the number of visas available each year and calculate their likely remaining time in the Queue.
This electronic tool
appears to work for the Contributory Parent categories but that is misleading. It has never been given any live data for the CP categories. It is running on test data only, put there to prove that the software works OK.
With the non-contributory Parent categories, the Queue calculator works for real and is said to be reliable. Please see here:
Parent Visa Processing Priorities - Family - Visas & Immigration
JAJ on British Expats fiddled with the Queue Calculator a few weeks back and got it to work using a Queue Date of 27 November 2007. Seemingly at least one Parent applicant was added to the Queue on that date.
I've just tried it, using JAJ's date. The result is roughly 13,130 applicants who are ahead of the Parent who was added to the Queue on 27/11/2007. With 1,000 places available each year, the 27/11/2007 non-contributory Parent is in for a very long wait.
It wouldn't be anything like that bad for Contributory Parents, however. There are 3.5 times as many visas available each year, and at the moment demand is only about double the available supply.
Best wishes
Gill