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Conclusion
If they were my Parents the way that I, personally, would approach this is as follows:
First wait for the breakdown in the new visa quota. Let is get the best ‘fix’ we can on how long processing an offshore CPV application would be likely to take. There is no point in even trying to calculate this until Alan Collett comes back with confirmation of the breakdown of the number of CPVs from 1st July 2008 onwards.
Meanwhile, let us do some serious thinking about how close you really are to being able to say that you are “settled” in Oz, because that question will arise no matter which of the vsas your Parents apply for. From your answers on this point we can get an idea of how long it is likely to be until a viable Parent application can be made.
Then you have to think about the logistics, because their flight to Oz is probably going to be a one-way trip for your Parents. Are they going to sell their house in the UK before they leave, and take a chance on the idea that neither of them will fall ill before their visas can be granted? Are they going to let it instead and then somebody (perhaps you) comes to the UK at a later date in order to organise selling it? What are you going to do about accommodation for them once they get to Oz? Have you investigated any of the Retirement Villages reasonably close to you? For a couple of your Parents’ ages, finding them a home in a Retirement Village might be the best bet. Remember the Bedcocks – the Tribunal was impressed by the fact that they moved straight into their own home in Oz.
Your Parents are contemplating a huge move. They will need time to say their goodbyes in the UK etc. This is bound to have an effect on when they will feel ready to begin the transit into their new lives in Oz, I suggest.
How healthy are they now? Mum is obviously as fit as a fiddle, but what about Dad? At this sort of age, the MOC is dead interested in whether they still have all their mental marbles as well as in their physical health. I don’t know your Parents so I can’t guess whether they are likely to remain in robust health for another couple of years.
What is their attitude to life? Are they prepared to go along with a bit of deception in order to facilitate the onshore visa route? Or would they feel happier if you do everything “by the book” – in which case an offshore CPV application is indicated?
Lots to think about, honey.
Best wishes
Gill
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